Our favourite Canadian stocks

February 2014 month-end recap of stocks Morningstar analysts recommend

Morningstar Equity Analysts 9 April, 2014 | 10:19PM
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The Canadian Core Buy list turned in strong results in March, growing 5.2% and outstripping the S&P/TSX 60 Index's return of 1.2%. The majority of the portfolio's growth during the month was driven by Cenovus Energy CVE, up 10%, and Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan POT, up 9.3%. The only company to lose ground during the quarter was Power Financial Corporation PWF, which still only lost 0.8%.

The Core Buy list has generated a cumulative return since inception of 153.8%, while the S&P/TSX benchmark has only returned 87.3%--a difference of 66.5%.

Our model recommended two changes to April's Core Buy list: Suncor Energy SU and IGM Financial IGM moved up from the Consider Hold list to the Consider Buy list, bumping Enbridge ENB and Rogers Communications RCI.B to the Consider Hold list.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

  Canadian Natural Resources remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 21.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $54 per share.

  Cenovus Energy remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 20.1% discount to our fair value estimate of $40.

  IGM Financial was added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 5.2% discount to our fair value estimate of $55.

  Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 7% discount to our fair value estimate of $43.

  Power Corp. of Canada remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 13.7% discount to our fair value estimate of $35.

  Power Financial Corp. remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 7.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $37.

  Suncor Energy was added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 24.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $51.

  TELUS Corp. remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 5.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $42.


The Canadian Income Buy list performed well in March, growing 5.2% and surpassing the S&P/TSX 60 Index's 1.2% gain. The majority of the portfolio's growth during the month was driven by AGF Management AGF.B, up 11.7%, and Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan POT, up 9.3%. The list's performance was also aided by the fact that no company lost ground during the quarter. The Core Buy list has generated a cumulative return since inception of 182.1%, while the S&P/TSX benchmark has only returned 87.3%--a difference of 94.8%.

Our model recommended three changes to April's Income Buy list. BCE Inc. BCE, IGM Financial IGM and Power Financial PWF were upgraded to the Consider Buy list, while AGF Management, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce CM and Fortis FTS fell to the Consider Hold list. We also dropped Pembina Pipeline PPL from all lists after the company spent three months on the Sell list.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

  BCE Inc. was added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 5.2% and trades at a 0.8% discount to our fair value estimate of $48.

  IGM Financial was added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.1% and trades at a 5.2% discount to our fair value estimate of $55.

  National Bank of Canada remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.2% and trades at a 1.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $45.

  Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.9% and trades at a 7% discount to our fair value estimate of $43.

  Power Corp. of Canada remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.8% and trades at a 13.7% discount to our fair value estimate of $35.

  Power Financial Corp. was added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.1% and trades at a 7.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $37.

  Rogers Communications remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4% and trades at a 4.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $48.

  TransCanada Corp. remains on the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.8% and trades at a 5.2% discount to our fair value estimate of $53.

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Morningstar Equity Analysts

Morningstar Equity Analysts  Morningstar’s Equity Analysts apply a consistent, forward-looking, and proven global methodology that focuses on long-term fundamental valuation, competitive advantages (economic moats), risk, financial health, and stewardship. Our bottom-up approach includes site visits and frequent interactions with company management and other industry participants to foster deeper analytical insights.

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