Our favourite Canadian stocks

September 2015 month-end recap of stocks Morningstar analysts recommend

Morningstar 5 October, 2015 | 5:00PM
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The Canadian Core Buy list underperformed the S&P/TSX 60 Index during the month of September, posting a total return that came in at -4.3% compared to the benchmark's -3.5%. The top performer for the period was Bank of Montreal BMO with a total return of 2.5%. This was offset by far weaker performance from Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc. POT and Cameco Corp. CCO with total returns of -19.9% and -11.6%, respectively.

The Core Buy list retains its cumulative outperformance against the benchmark; with a total return since inception of 144.1% versus 87% for the S&P/TSX 60 Index, a difference of 57.1 percentage points.

Our model recommended several changes to October's Core Pick list. Restaurant Brands International Inc. QSR, Rogers Communications Inc. Class B RCI.B, Bank of Montreal, Cameco, National Bank of Canada NA and Potash Corp. were each moved from the Core Buy list to the Core Hold list. BCE Inc. BCE and IGM Financial IGM were elevated to the Core Buy list from the Core Hold list. Canadian National Railway CNR, Enbridge Inc. ENB, Imperial Oil Ltd. IMO and Pembina Pipeline Corp. PPL were each newly added to the Core Buy list.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

 BCE Inc. was added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 3.1% discount to our fair value estimate of $53.

 Canadian National Railway Co. was newly added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 0.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $76.

Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at an 8.8% discount to our fair value estimate of $210.

 CI Financial Corp. remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 15.8% discount to our fair value estimate of $36.

 Enbridge Inc. was newly added to the list this month. The stock trades at an 8.2% discount to our fair value estimate of $54.

 IGM Financial Inc. was added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 19.4% discount to our fair value estimate of $42.

 Imperial Oil Ltd was newly added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 1.7% discount to our fair value estimate of $43.

 Pembina Pipeline Corp. was newly added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 5.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $34.


The Canadian Income Buy list underperformed the S&P/TSX 60 index during the month of September, posting a total return of -4.3% compared to the benchmark's -3.5%. The underperformance of the Buy list was primarily driven by Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan POT and Cameco Corp CCO with total returns of -19.9% and -11.6%, respectively. Bank of Montreal BMO posted the strongest result from the Income Buy list for the month of September, with a total return of 2.5%.

The Income Buy list has generated a cumulative return since inception of 140.2%, while the S&P/TSX 60 Index returned 87.0% over the same period, a difference of 53.2 percentage points.

Our model recommended several additional changes to our Income Pick list for the month of October. Fortis Inc. FTS, Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc. RBA and Cameco Corp. were moved off of the Income Buy list to the Income Hold list. Replacing these names are Pembina Pipeline Corp. PPL, TransCanada Corp. TRP and Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. PEY, all of which are new additions to the Core Buy list.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

 AGF Management Ltd. remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 6.1% and trades at a 29.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $7.50.

 IGM Financial Inc. remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 6.7% and trades at a 19.4% discount to our fair value estimate of $42.

 National Bank of Canada remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.9% and trades at a 33.4% discount to our fair value estimate of $64.

 Pembina Pipeline Corp was newly added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 5.7% and trades at a 5.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $34.

 Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. was newly added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.8% and trades at a 13.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $32.

 Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc. remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 7.4% and trades at a 37.7% discount to our fair value estimate of $44.

 Rogers Communications Inc. remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.2% and trades at a 4.2% discount to our fair value estimate of $48.

 TransCanada Corp. was newly added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.9% and trades at a 1.9% discount to our fair value estimate of $43.

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Securities Mentioned in Article

Security NamePriceChange (%)Morningstar Rating
AGF Management Ltd Shs -B- Non-Voting12.19 CAD1.08Rating
Bank of Montreal147.36 CAD-0.13Rating
BCE Inc30.66 CAD-0.42Rating
Cameco Corp90.37 CAD3.49
Canadian National Railway Co143.13 CAD-1.01Rating
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd110.64 CAD-0.45Rating
CI Financial Corp31.55 CAD0.10Rating
Enbridge Inc62.68 CAD-0.08Rating
Fortis Inc64.74 CAD-0.29Rating
IGM Financial Inc43.25 CAD-0.92Rating
Imperial Oil Ltd105.84 CAD2.86
National Bank of Canada134.66 CAD0.13Rating
Nutrien Ltd82.14 CAD0.34Rating
Pembina Pipeline Corp51.25 CAD0.22Rating
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp19.93 CAD2.05
Restaurant Brands International Inc92.30 CAD-2.58Rating
Ritchie Bros Auctioneers Inc147.00 CAD1.03Rating
Rogers Communications Inc Shs -B- Non-Voting37.00 CAD-0.67Rating
TC Energy Corp67.44 CAD-0.55Rating

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