Our favourite Canadian stocks at July 2016 month-end

A recap of stocks Morningstar analysts recommend.

Morningstar Canada 4 August, 2016 | 5:00PM
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The Canadian Core Buy list underperformed the S&P/TSX 60 Index during the month of July, posting a total return of 2.8% compared to the benchmark's gain of 3.9%. The strongest performer was Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. (CP) with a total return of 17.6%. The gain was largely offset by weak performance from Cameco Corp. (CCO) with a total return of -12.1%.

The Core Buy list retains its cumulative outperformance against the benchmark; with a total return since inception of 142.7% versus 107.5% for the benchmark S&P/TSX 60, a difference of 35.2 percentage points.

Our model recommended several changes for August's Core Pick list. Thomson Reuters Corp. (TRI), new to any list this month, was added to the Consider Buy list. Meanwhile, Canadian National Railway Co. (CNR) moved from the Consider Hold to the Consider Sell list, while Cameco Corp. and Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PPL) dropped from all lists.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

 Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 16.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $119.

 Canadian Pacific Railway remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 1.4% premium to our fair value estimate of $193.

 CI Financial remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 16.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $32.

 Enbridge remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 2.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $55.

 National Bank of Canada remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 22.9% discount to our fair value estimate of $58.

 Restaurant Brands International remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 4.3% premium to our fair value estimate of $56.

 Shaw Communications remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 5.9% premium to our fair value estimate of $25.

 Thomson Reuters is new to all lists this month. The stock trades at a 7.9% premium to our fair value estimate of $51.


The Canadian Income Buy list underperformed the S&P/TSX 60 Index during the month of July, posting a total return of 3.2% compared to the benchmark's gain of 3.9%. Top performers included Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd. and Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) with total returns of 17.6% and 8.6%, respectively. The largest losses came from Cameco Corp., with a total return of -12.1%.

The Income Buy List has generated a cumulative return since inception of 179.9%, while the S&P/TSX 60 benchmark returned 107.5% over the same period, a difference of 72.4 percentage points.

Our model recommended no changes to our Income Pick list for the month of August.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

 AGF Management remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 6.3% and trades at a 7.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $5.50.

 Cameco Corp. remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 3.2% and trades at a 45.7% discount to our fair value estimate of $23.

 Canadian Pacific Railway remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 1% and trades at a 1.4% premium to our fair value estimate of $193.

 CI Financial remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 5.2% and trades at a 16.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $32.

 Enbridge remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4% and trades at a 2.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $55.

 IGM Financial remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 6.2% and trades at a 9.2% discount to our fair value estimate of $40.

 Restaurant Brands International remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 1.3% and trades at a 4.3% premium to our fair value estimate of $56.

 Shaw Communications Shaw Communications remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.5% and trades at a 5.9% premium to our fair value estimate of $25.

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Securities Mentioned in Article

Security NamePriceChange (%)Morningstar Rating
AGF Management Ltd Shs -B- Non-Voting11.99 CAD-3.77Rating
Cameco Corp90.53 CAD0.60
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce92.61 CAD-0.34Rating
Canadian National Railway Co141.09 CAD-1.50Rating
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd109.24 CAD-1.09Rating
CI Financial Corp31.58 CAD0.00Rating
Enbridge Inc63.37 CAD-0.50Rating
IGM Financial Inc43.07 CAD-1.64Rating
National Bank of Canada135.42 CAD0.31Rating
Pembina Pipeline Corp52.26 CAD0.99Rating
Restaurant Brands International Inc91.39 CAD-1.66Rating
Thomson Reuters Corp264.98 CAD-1.20Rating

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